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Oscar 2011 - hvem vinder? Og hvem burde vinde?

27. Feb 2011 18:00, Søren Langelund

 Predictions and picks: Tonight's the night - endelig står Hollywood igen på den anden ende, når Oscar-statuetterne skal deles ud for 83. gang.

Som det jo hører sig til, når man er selvudråbt Oscar-nørd, har jeg efter alt for mange timers intens research i det forgangne år et par hæderlige bud på, hvem der bliver de store vindere - og hvem der burde vinde, hvis jeg kunne få lov at vælge helt subjektivt blandt de nominerede:

- Best Picture:

Will win: The King's Speech
Should win: Winter's Bone

- Directing:
Will win: Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
Should win: Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan

- Actor in a Leading Role:
Will win: Colin Firth, The King's Speech
Should win: Colin Firth

- Actress in a Leading Role:
Will win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Should win: Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone

- Actor in a Supporting Role:
Will win: Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
Should win: Geoffrey Rush

- Actress in a Supporting Role:

Will win: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Should win: Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech

- Writing (Adapted Screenplay):
Will win: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Should win: Aaron Sorkin

- Writing (Original Screenplay):
Will win: David Seidler, The King's Speech
Should win: Mike Leigh, Another Year

- Cinematography:

Will win: Roger Deakins, True Grit
Should win: Matthew Libatique, Black Swan

- Film Editing:

Will win: The Social Network, Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter
Should win: The Social Network

- Animated Feature Film:

Will win: Toy Story 3, Lee Unkrich
Should win: How To Train Your Dragon, Chris Sanders and Dean Deblois

- Foreign Language Film:
Will win: In a Better World, Denmark

- Documentary (Feature)
:
Will win: Inside Job, Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs
Should win: Inside Job

- Original Score:
Will win: The King's Speech, Alexandre Desplat
Should win: How To Train Your Dragon, John Powell

- Original Song:
Will win: Coming Home (from "Country Strong"), Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
Should win: If I Rise (from "127 Hours"), Music by A.R. Rahman; Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong

- Visual Effects:
Will win: Inception, Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
Should win: Inception

- Art Direction:
Will win: The King's Speech, Production Design: Eve Stewart, Set Decoration: Judy Farr
Should win: Inception, Guy Hendrix Dyas (Production Design); Larry Dias and Doug Mowat (Set Decoration)

- Makeup:
Will win: The Wolfman, Rick Baker and Dave Elsey
Should win: The Wolfman

- Costume Design:
Will win: The King's Speech, Jenny Beavan
Should win: Alice in Wonderland, Colleen Atwood

- Sound Mixing:
Will win: Inception, Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
Should win: The King's Speech, Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley

- Sound Editing:

Will win: Inception, Richard King
Should win: Inception

- Short Film (Animated):

Will win: The Gruffalo, Jakob Schuh and Max Lang

- Short Film (Live Action):
Will win: God of Love, Luke Matheny

- Documentary (Short Subject):
Will win: Strangers No More, Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon

(i visse kategorier har jeg ikke valgt nogle "should win"'s, som følge af at jeg ikke har set nok af de nominerede til at have en kvalificeret mening).

God Oscar-nat til alle - og ventetiden kan i øvrigt med fordel fordrives med det seneste nummer af filmmagasinet EKKO, hvor temaet er netop Oscar. - Og nå ja, så har jeg skrevet en af artiklerne. 

Kommentarer

  1. Søren Langelund
    28. Feb 2011 12:42
    1

    EFTERSPIL: Fik 16 rigtige - hvilket er mit dårligste resultat i elleve år. Langt under 'normalen' og lidet imponerende :)... Men altså, man skal også tage nogle chancer, for at det er sjovt (alle kan jo på dagen for uddelingen ret nemt få et overblik over konsensus-favoritterne), og tog et par store chancer i supp-kategorierne, som ikke pay'ede off, og så ser man lidt dum ud :)... Måske lige kækt nok i bagklogskabens klare lys, ligesom jeg overvurderede Speechs sweep-evne... Men havde jeg skrevet mine backup-valg, havde jeg haft alle undtagen Fotografi, som var den eneste, der rigtigt overraskede mig, OG jeg havde de seks store kategorier rigtigt (Film, Director, Actor, Actress, Org. manus, Adp. manus) samt de andre spillefilmskategorier (Animation, dokumentar, foreign), så som Oscar-nørd er det trods alt det vigtigste ift. Art Direction, kostumer m.v. :) ... Nå - nok dårlige undskyldinger for nu - let the Oscar race 2012 begin :)

  2. Michael W.
    28. Feb 2011 18:14
    2

    Uha Søren, som du måske har set i mine gæt inde på DAHF, så havde jeg 17 rigtige. Så vandt jeg jo i år ;)

    Jeg er lidt sur over, at jeg gik efter de små overraskelser i Bonham Carter og Fincher. Leo og Hooper var det mest oplagte, og de 8 store kategorier gik, desværre, som "planlagt". Jeg havde håbet på at der kunne være blevet rusket lidt op i bare en enkelt af de store kategorier.

    At Inception vandt for bedste fotografering var også den største overraskelse for mig.

  3. Søren Langelund
    28. Feb 2011 21:08
    3

    Ja, det var den eneste overraskelse reelt set.

    Men tillykke med sejren - jeg rammer en ren 20'er til næste år ;)

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